The heterogeneous effects of trade agreements with labor provisions
Authors
Issue Date
12-Jun-2020
Physical description
37 p.
Abstract
¿Los acuerdos comerciales con disposiciones laborales afectan al comercio de
manera diferente a como lo hacen aquellos sin tales disposiciones? ¿Son sus efectos
heterogéneos con respecto al nivel de desarrollo de los países involucrados y la intensidad
laboral de los bienes comercializados? En este trabajo implementamos un modelo de
gravedad estructural de última generación con comercio intranacional y permitimos
efectos heterogéneos según el nivel de aplicabilidad de las disposiciones laborales
(provisiones débiles vs. fuertes), el sector (bienes intensivos en mano de obra vs. bienes
no intensivos en mano de obra), nivel de desarrollo de los miembros (Norte vs. Sur), y
combinaciones de las tres dimensiones. Mostramos que, en general, los efectos sobre
el comercio de los acuerdos comerciales con disposiciones laborales son mayores que
los que no las tienen. Sin embargo, también encontramos que, si bien las exportaciones
Sur-Norte muestran un aumento significativo después de la firma de un acuerdo comercial
sin disposiciones laborales o con disposiciones laborales “débiles”, esto no sucede si se
incluyen disposiciones laborales “fuertes” en el acuerdo, y que tal diferencia tiende a ser
mayor para los bienes intensivos en mano de obra
Do trade agreements with labor provisions affect trade differently from those without such provisions? Are their effects heterogeneous with respect to the level of development of the countries involved and the labor intensity of goods traded? In this paper we implement a state-of-the-art structural gravity model with intra-national trade and allow for heterogeneous effects depending on the level of enforceability of labor provisions (weak vs. strong provisions), sector (labor vs. non-labor intensive goods), members’ development level (North vs. South), and combinations of the three dimensions. We show that, overall, the trade effects of trade agreements with labor provisions are larger than those without. However, we also fi nd that while exports from the South to the North display a significant increase after a signature of a trade agreements with no or weak labor provisions, this is not the case if strong labor provisions are included in the agreement, and that such difference tend to be larger for labor-intensive goods.
Do trade agreements with labor provisions affect trade differently from those without such provisions? Are their effects heterogeneous with respect to the level of development of the countries involved and the labor intensity of goods traded? In this paper we implement a state-of-the-art structural gravity model with intra-national trade and allow for heterogeneous effects depending on the level of enforceability of labor provisions (weak vs. strong provisions), sector (labor vs. non-labor intensive goods), members’ development level (North vs. South), and combinations of the three dimensions. We show that, overall, the trade effects of trade agreements with labor provisions are larger than those without. However, we also fi nd that while exports from the South to the North display a significant increase after a signature of a trade agreements with no or weak labor provisions, this is not the case if strong labor provisions are included in the agreement, and that such difference tend to be larger for labor-intensive goods.
Publish on
Documentos de Trabajo / Banco de España, 2017
Subjects
Comercio internacional; Acuerdos comerciales; Disposiciones laborales; Modelos de gravedad estructural; International trade; Trade agreements; Labor provisions; Structural gravity models; Comercio internacional
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