Skip navigation
Thumbnail
View
3,82 MB
Share:
Full metadata record
DC FieldValue
dc.contributor.authorBanco de España. Departamento de Economía Internacional y Área del Euro
dc.coverage.spatialAmérica Latina
dc.date.accessioned2021-12-21T20:02:21Z
dc.date.available2021-12-21T20:02:21Z
dc.date.issued2021-10-27
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.bde.es/handle/123456789/19695
dc.descriptionArtículo de revista
dc.description.abstractThe economic recovery in Latin America appears to have firmed in the second half of the year, having come to a halt in practically all the countries in Q2 owing to the unfavourable course of the pandemic. This has led in recent months to an across-the-board upward revision in growth forecasts in the region for 2021. Against this background, the region’s banking systems remain healthy, although some indicators, such as non-performing loans, are beginning to be impacted by the persistence of the crisis. There has also been a notable slowdown in lending, linked partly to the generalised withdrawal of support programmes. The path of the recovery, which is uneven from country to country, will be determined by the pandemic being overcome. It is expected that the recovery will continue to be underpinned by the strength of external demand and commodities prices, by the widespread support of economic policies (albeit gradually with less intensity) and by the favourable financing conditions in the region which, though they have recently tightened, remain accommodative in historical terms. One key conditioning factor will be inflation, which has risen notably across the region as a whole, and, specifically, how transitory this development proves. Given the high uncertainty surrounding the economic outlook, the Report presents alternative scenarios referring to a series of epidemiological, economic and financial variables. The indicators of macro-financial vulnerability in the region remain contained in the external and banking sectors but high in respect of public finances, against a backdrop of notable uncertainty over the future course of economic policies.
dc.format.extent56 p.
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherBanco de España
dc.relation.ispartofEconomic Bulletin / Banco de España, 4/2021
dc.relation.hasversionVersión en español 123456789/19142
dc.rightsReconocimiento-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 4.0 Internacional (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0)
dc.rightsIn Copyright - Non Commercial Use Permitted
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/deed.es_ES
dc.rights.urihttp://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC-NC/1.0/
dc.subjectLatin America
dc.subjectLatin American economy
dc.subjectEconomic outlook
dc.subjectHealth crisis
dc.subjectMobility
dc.subjectCommodities
dc.subjectInflation
dc.subjectFinancing conditions
dc.subjectCapital flows
dc.subjectHousehold savings
dc.subjectPolitical and social unrest
dc.subjectMonetary policy
dc.subjectPublic debt sustainability
dc.subjectIMF Special Drawing Rights
dc.subjectInternational economy
dc.titleReport on the Latin American Economy: second half of 2021: outlook, vulnerabilities and policy space
dc.typeArtículo
dc.identifier.bdebib000472276
dc.identifier.bdepubECBU-2021-4B-art38
dc.subject.bdeEvolución económica y política económica
dc.subject.bdePrevisiones
dc.subject.bdeEconomía internacional
dc.publisher.bdeMadrid : Banco de España, 2021
dc.subject.jelC11
dc.subject.jelE31
dc.subject.jelE52
dc.subject.jelE58
dc.subject.jelE62
dc.subject.jelF01
dc.subject.jelF30
dc.subject.jelF47
Appears in Collections:


loading