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dc.contributor.authorBerganza, Juan Carlos
dc.contributor.authorFuertes, Alberto
dc.coverage.spatialEstados Unidos
dc.date.accessioned2019-08-14T07:45:50Z
dc.date.available2019-08-14T07:45:50Z
dc.date.issued2018-03-09
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.bde.es/handle/123456789/8956
dc.descriptionArtículo de revista
dc.description.abstractThe yield curve for US government debt securities has flattened significantly since late 2016 and its slope, while positive, has fallen to levels not observed since before the global financial crisis. The inversion of the yield curve slope is considered, on occasions, as a leading indicator of future recessions. And this, given moreover that the current expansionary phase is proving more durable than previous upturns, has prompted debate on the implications of the recent flattening of the curve. However, as illustrated in this article, unlike previous episodes, in which the flattening of the curve was explained by the behaviour of the interest rates expected at different terms, at this current juncture it is warranted substantially by the compression of term premia. Against this background, the historical relationship between the yield curve and predicted recessions in the US economy might have altered
dc.format.extent11 p.
dc.language.isoen
dc.relation.ispartofEconomic Bulletin / Banco de España, 1/2018
dc.relation.hasversionVersión en español 123456789/8350
dc.rightsReconocimiento-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 4.0 Internacional (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0)
dc.rightsIn Copyright - Non Commercial Use Permitted
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/deed.es_ES
dc.rights.urihttp://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC-NC/1.0/
dc.subjectAnálisis financiero
dc.subjectEconomía internacional
dc.subjectPolítica monetaria
dc.titleThe flatttening of the yield curve in the United States
dc.typeArtículo
dc.identifier.bdebib000361544
dc.identifier.bdepubECBU-2018-1B-art06
dc.subject.bdeDéficit y deuda públicos
dc.subject.bdePolítica monetaria
dc.subject.bdeMercados de valores
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